The TSX Venture is known as an exchange for speculative startups. A place for lottery ticket money where an investor knows the risk is high but so is the upside potential. But occasionally you can find an underfollowed and undervalued gem that is pretty much guaranteed to give you a massive return. Not just based on hopes for the future, but based on numbers being achieved today. Ostrom Climate Solutions Inc. (COO.V) is one of those rare opportunities. If you like our picks you can also follow this blog by clicking the follow button on the top of the left hand panel. We have 130 followers so far on here as well as 1,039 followers on our ValueTrades blog. You can also follow us on X @StockTradePicks which has over 5,000 followers.
COO specializes in carbon offset project development and climate solutions consulting, basically the carbon pricing trading market. This would have been a hot topic in 2021, but not so much today. The good news for investors is that they no longer have to bank on speculation. This company is undervalued based on fundamentals. Fundamentals backed up by such a drastic and speedy improved financial performance that it borderlines on absurd. The stock rose 88% to close at $0.075 on Friday for good reason after it released Q4 and full year results. It traded 737,000 shares on Friday, more shares than it has traded for all of 2026 prior to that point. COO has a fair value of $1.50 based on the annualized run rate of Q4 results, a 20x upside assuming no further revenue growth from here. Combine the fundamental value with the thinly traded nature of this stock and we think that investors will see massive returns really quickly here.
Highlights of the Q4 and 2025 earnings press release include:
- Fiscal year 2025 revenue totaled $25,773,561, representing an increase of $22,310,750, or approximately 644%, from $3,462,811 in fiscal 2024. This increase was driven primarily by materially higher VER sales, which increased to $24,330,687 in 2025 from $1,959,496 in the prior year. Consulting and advisory revenue was $1,442,874, compared with $1,503,315 in 2024.
- Gross profit for the year was $3,971,087, compared to $754,999 in 2024, representing an increase of $3,216,088. Gross margin was approximately 15.4%, compared to 21.8% in the prior year. The margin profile reflects a higher-volume VER trading year in which certain transactions relied on externally sourced or higher-cost inventory, while absolute gross profit increased materially despite the lower margin on certain trades.
- The Company reported net income for fiscal 2025 of $1,592,510, compared to a net loss of $4,579,652 in fiscal 2024, representing a year-over-year improvement of approximately $6.2 million. The improvement reflected higher gross profit, lower operating expenses, and income recognized on extinguishment of deferred revenue arising from the settlement of obligations under an Emission Reduction Purchase Agreement ("ERPA"), partially offset by the impairment of the right-of-use asset and higher finance and interest costs.
- Q4 2025 revenue reached approximately $18,164,391, compared to $1,568,181 in Q4 2024. The increase was driven primarily by a significant increase in VER sales activity, including transactions connected to stronger compliance-market demand and customer delivery timing in the fourth quarter.
- Gross profit for Q4 2025 was approximately $2,264,463, compared to $86,207 in Q4 2024. The year-over-year increase reflects substantially higher VER sales volume during the quarter, partly offset by a lower gross margin profile on certain high-volume trading activity.
- The Company generated net income of approximately $2,941,233 in Q4 2025, compared to a net loss of $1,373,756 in Q4 2024. This variance was driven by increased revenue and gross profit, operating cost discipline, and the recognition of income on extinguishment of the ERPA project advance.
- Ostrom's VER trading activity increased materially during the year as compliance-market demand strengthened, particularly in British Columbia. The Company believes the BC OBPS has created a favorable framework for eligible carbon offsets as industrial emitters seek credible, verifiable credits to help meet regulatory obligations. Management expects compliance markets to remain a significant strategic focus for the Company, while recognizing that carbon trading revenue can be uneven from quarter to quarter due to delivery timing, customer demand, inventory availability, and recognition of deferred revenue.
The company has managed to leverage favorable framework in British Columbia along with its expertise in carbon management projects to profit from Voluntary Emission Reductions, or VER, carbon credits. Revenue has absolutely skyrocketed, though it is understandable that with a commodity trading business, the company feels that gross profit rather than topline revenue is a better indicator of economic success. This is a chart from the company's MD&A that shows results by quarter:
Q3 was the first quarter that showed evidence that the company's trajectory has completely changed due to the VER, and Q4 showed that trend has accelerated. The company earned a 2.6 cent EPS in Q4 alone. Annualizing that figure leads to an EPS of over $0.10. The company was cautious by saying results could fluctuate going forward. But with a $0.075 stock price, there is plenty of room for error at this level. The annualized P/E based on Q4 results is less than 1x, and the company has demonstrated an accelerating trend of VER activity and profitability. Financials for Q1 will come at the end of May. So it won't take long to see the next data point.
The improved net income isn't hocus-pocus accounting tricks either. This has generated real cash flow that has materially improved the company's balance sheet. Operating cash flow was $1.8 million in 2025. That has led to a drastic improvement in shareholder's equity from -$4.8 million to -$3.1 million with the cash balance tripling from $550,000 to $1.7 million throughout 2025. While negative shareholder's equity would normally be a concern, note that $2.5 million of the liabilities are deferred revenue. Once that revenue is earned, this liability will come off the books, further improving the balance sheet. Shareholder's equity and working capital will likely turn positive in Q1 or Q2 of 2026.
COO has 114 million shares outstanding. Which at $0.075 is less than a $9 million market cap. P/E and P/CF are both less than 5x, a valuation that is practically impossible to find that cheap in today's stock market. Add in the fact that most of the profitability and cash flow generation is based on Q4 results, with the numbers showing an accelerating trend. While the stock may have 114 million shares outstanding, it trades like a stock with a float that is substantially lower than that, around 10 to 20 million shares. If enough investors recognize COO's value to the point that the stock trades 2 million volume or more in a day, it could rocket 500% based on the thin float and justify the move based on fundamentals.
Assuming that COO merely flatlines to Q4 results for 2026, that would equate to a $0.10 EPS. Applying a 15x multiple leads to a $1.50 fair price. There is no way that this stock is going to trade below $0.10 for much longer. This is a true undervalued gem that the TSXV can sometimes produce when an obscure, thinly traded company suddenly produces good results out of nowhere. Buying COO now is like investors buying on legalized insider information. The numbers are there for the world to see, but hardly anyone knows about them yet.
Disclosure: We are long COO.V